I couldn’t help but extrapolate the curves in the chart of forecast temperature extremes for Exeter from the Met Office in their latest blog. It looks likely that temperatures in Exeter may well exceed those of …
Europe in September 2020 was predominantly warmer than the 1981-2010 average for September. Temperatures were most above average in countries bordering the Black Sea, but relatively warm conditions were also experienced over the western Balkans, the …
I have just read a recent report Tropical cyclone intensification trends during satellite era (1986–2010) that claims that the world’s tropical cyclones are intensifying more quickly. I came across it after reading a tweet by Katharine …
Are Atlantic tropical cyclones intensifying more quickly? Read More »
The GISTemp global temperatures for August 2020 have just been published, and although the month was 0.85°C above the 1951-1980 LTA and the fourth warmest on record in the series that started in 1880, what strikes …
The race for warmest year globally is going to be a very close run thing, and there’s no doubt that the annual global temperature for 2020 will be within a smidgeon of 2016 when the December …
The battle for warmest year globally – will 2016 be finally beaten? Read More »
This months anomaly of +0.44°C for August 2020 from the Copernicus ERA5 global reanalysis temperature series was the smallest in almost two years, and finally the 12 month moving average has begun to fallback after rising …
ERA5: smallest global anomaly for almost two years Read More »
I am still struggling to give this specific area of the globe I use in the above chart a name. It more or less covers one quadrant (if that is the right word) of the whole …
I have been spouting on about how I thought the sharp rise in 12 month average global temperatures, which started in 2018, should start to fall back since late February, and finally after over four months …
Global temperatures – recent sharp rise finally starts to peak Read More »
When viewed as mean temperature anomalies from reanalysis data for the first sixteen days of August 2020, the recent heatwave in the southeast of England looks a little less dramatic. The core of the greatest warmth …
Comparing reanalysis anomalies with those from observed values Read More »
On the same floor plate and right next door to the Climate Attribution team at the Met Office down in Exeter, is the Department for Odd Climate Statistics. The mantra of the ‘Docs’ team (as they …
My DIY global temperatures series continues to down tick from a peak of around 9.975°C in the 365 day moving average in mid February, to 9.93°C at the start of August. Granted that’s only a miniscule …
I have often wondered if the severe winter of 1962-63 across Europe was caused by, or in someway enhanced by the nuclear testing that was going on at the time by the Soviet Union and Americans. …
Was the severe winter of 1962-63 caused or enhanced by nuclear testing? Read More »
Darren Bett and Meteogroup seem convinced that maximum temperatures will get up to 34°C in parts of the southeast on Friday afternoon – maybe it will or maybe it won’t – we will see. Here in …
Wikipedia reckon that there are three ‘poles of cold‘ in the world, two in the northern hemisphere in the Sakha in eastern Russia at Verkhoyansk and Oymyakon, and the other and by far the coldest in …
In the last five years estimates of global temp have been in a bit of a hiatus with temperatures still recovering from a decline since the record warm year of 2016. In fact if you look …
Recent Global Temperatures – more lies, damn lies and statistics Read More »
The NHC have surpassed themselves this year in forensically spotting six short lived tropical storms that have between them survived a total of 264 hours before transitioning to that great tropical cyclone up in the sky …
It still looks unlikely to me that by the end of this year 2020 will claim the crown of the warmest year from 2016. Rather it looks likely that 2020 will end up finishing second best …
Global temperatures – how likely is it that 2020 will take the crown from 2016? Read More »
It strikes me that the Met Office, who must have commissioned at least three of their scientific staff to spend the last few months in lock down to undertake this study, don’t seem to have the …
Prolonged Siberian heat attributed to climate change and misleading graphics Read More »
I notice that the Met Office have just put out an article ‘attributing’ the unprecedented warmth of the last six months in Siberia to climate change, so I thought I would take a closer look. As …
My own estimated global temperatures are still on the slide and have been since the 25th of February. I’ll be the first to admit that my findings aren’t supported at all by six out of the …
I thought I would expand the coverage of my chart of mean temperature anomalies to display anomalies right across the northern hemisphere this month (June 2020). It may have been very warm in June over parts …
Author: Grahame Madge 15:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 2 Jul 2020 As the planet warms, the intensity, frequency and duration of extreme weather events such as heatwaves and heavy rainfall is expected to increase. Corresponding decreases in cool …
More extreme weather events with planetary warming Read More »
I am still trying to puzzle out why the last week’s temperatures in Siberia provoked such a furore in the world’s social media channels, when much higher temperature anomalies across Asia and eastern Europe had been …
Maximum temperatures were over 9°C lower than yesterdays across the north and maximum temperature anomalies were generally between -2°C and -6°C below the LTA for the day, this combined with the wind and rain in the …