El Niño unlikely till later in year
According to NOAA and the NCEP the chances of the SST conditions in the central Pacific remaining neutral this spring are 65%, dropping to 55% during the summer. That means that El Niño event is not …
ENSO
Global temperatures, volcanoes and El Niño
I have now added some extra functionality to my Global Temperature application to overlay (or should that be underlay) ENSO and volcanic events on it. As you can see there must be a strong correlation between …
Latest ENSO conditions
I decided to look in more detail at Pacific SST in the four Niño ENSO areas and plot more a more detailed weekly graphs of SST and anomalies rather than rely on the monthly values as …
Polar sea ice extent since 1990
I have always thought that following sea ice extent using daily SII values from the NSIDC was not a good idea. Even following weekly, monthly or seasonal extremes didn’t seem to simplify the ‘noise’ that you …