So what happens now?
So what happens now? Well, according to two of the leading NWP models once we’ve seen the pack of this short cyclonic spell and …
Forecast
UKMO beat record for shortest warm front
The UKMO have beaten the record in their T+36 forecast chart for the shortest warm front ever. News of the new record has taken …
GFS out on a limb with this forecast *updated
On the face of it the GFS model seems to be out on a limb in how it’s forecasting a significantly deeper and more …
All’s not lost – well not quite
The NWP of the last week have been united in showing how, after the current anticyclonic easterlies collapses later this week, they will be …
GFS-ECMWF split
It looks to me that the GFS and ECMWF models start to diverge from around next Friday (T+120) when the GFS has cold air …
What happens next?
Well what happens next is that a deep low to the west on Thursday tries to push it’s occluding frontal system north and east …
Mild air pushes into eastern Europe
Storm Christoph has made short work of the short cold spell that had become established across Scandinavia and eastern Europe since the New Year, …
20 Jan 2021 – Wednesdays low
There seems to be a bit of a disagreement between the GFS and ECMWF models about how much the low that’s forecast to track …
A very specific forecast
I couldn’t resist showing you this mornings very specific forecast for the Highlands for Wednesday from the Met Office. They say that if the …
Milder, but colder in far north with rain then snow
All the weathercasters are having problems with the nationwide headlines that they’ve tried to dream up for this morning, they can’t decide if its …
Milder, but colder in far north with rain then snow Read More »
Anticyclonic spell in north, windy, raw and rather cold further south
The cold spell continues over the whole of IONA al least for the next four days according to the Hires ECMWF model. Eventually high …
Anticyclonic spell in north, windy, raw and rather cold further south Read More »
A rather cold and wintry Hogmanay
It looks like it will be a cold and wintry Hogmanay for 2021 across IONA. The weather continues to be rather cold, rather than …
So this is what they mean by an “early frost”
I know we have a bit of a snow cover at the moment in Strathpeffer but the model the Met Office use for their …
A few more euphemisms
I shouldn’t really complain because at least the person who wrote this forecast for the Highlands at the Met Office is obviously trying their …
Is that windy in the northeast or wind in the northeast?
You really would have thought they would have read their forecast through before issuing it especially the national forecast.
Cold cyclonic conditions persist into start of next week
The cold cyclonic spell which has developed this week is likely to persist into the middle of next week according to the latest run …
Cold cyclonic conditions persist into start of next week Read More »
Wednesday’s curious low
The ECMWF model has picked up on a secondary low which is a rather curious but vigorous little feature later this week. It forms …
Signs of a northerly after brief anticyclonic interlude
It is still rather a long way off but there are signs that as the anticyclonic spell that gets underway during the coming week …
Signs of a northerly after brief anticyclonic interlude Read More »
Next weekends retrograde low
I had to check that I wasn’t seeing things when I first looked at the ECMWF hi-res model for next weekend across IONA. For …
Wednesdays low
There is not a great deal of consensus between any of the forecasts for Wednesday from the NWP data available on the internet. The …
Major role reversal in week ahead
According to the latest run of the ECMWF hi-res model a major role reversal in weather types is forecast to take place in the …
If the weather’s crap in the south then it’s crap everywhere
As the heatwave slowly unravels into a hot and steamy breakdown from mid-week onwards across southern areas, a bit of a north-south split looks …
If the weather’s crap in the south then it’s crap everywhere Read More »
Next week’s thundery rain
Where will the focus of the rain that falls from next week’s forecast thunderstorms be? There is not a great deal of agreement in …
Northern Scotland on edge of rain band
Yesterday’s NWP models were spot on about how far today’s rain would extend northward. Much of the northern Highlands have stayed clear of the …