First hints of an easterly?
I may be clutching at straws as to what might come next this winter here, but there are the first signs of an easterly …
NWP
Thursday’s shaping up to be a humdinger
Wednesday or Thursday was always forecast to be a wild kind of day over the north of Scotland by the models, and by the …
Sure about heavy rain – not so sure about strong winds and blizzards
Storm Christoph is going to make it a very busy week as far as warnings are concerned for the Met Office. They have already …
Sure about heavy rain – not so sure about strong winds and blizzards Read More »
Possible flooding east of the Pennines
I have been pondering this amber warning for heavy rain on Tuesday and Wednesday issued by the UKMO yesterday and looking at the latest …
Depressing outlook all bar Thursday
The weather looks depressingly like a very average kind of January for the next ten days or so, thats according to the ECMWF model, …
Wet week ahead in northwest England and west of Wales
Most of the frontal and cyclonic activity is forecast to be focused across parts of northwest and southwest England and the west of Wales …
Wet week ahead in northwest England and west of Wales Read More »
Snow lying in NWP animations from the Met Office
It may not be news to you, and it maybe that I’m not the most observant of people out there, but as far as …
Snow lying in NWP animations from the Met Office Read More »
20 Jan 2021 – more consensus about Wednesdays low
There looks to be good agreement between the four major models regarding developments on Wednesday. The ECMWF no longer has the intense low across …
20 Jan 2021 – more consensus about Wednesdays low Read More »
20 Jan 2021 – Wednesdays low
There seems to be a bit of a disagreement between the GFS and ECMWF models about how much the low that’s forecast to track …
16 Jan 2021 – latest on Saturdays snow
If anything the transitory snow on saturday could be a bigger problem across eastern England than anywhere else in the country according to the …
16 Jan 2021 – Saturdays snow
In contrast to the very slow moving occluding triple point system of the last 36 hours or so, the frontal system on Saturday is …
ECMWF changes its mind about next week
The ECMWF 42 day long range 2 M temperature anomaly forecast in the space of just six days have now decided that the week …
Chances of snow on Thursday
Take your pick from these four NWP model solutions for 06 UTC on Thursday. The chances of snow all hinge on just how quickly …
They thought it was all over…
The SSW event that occurred just after the New Year has been somewhat underwhelming in reinvigorating the Christmas cold spell across IONA, but there …
Taking no chances
The UKMO are taking no chances with the risk of snow on Monday across the north of Scotland and have issued an eleven hour …
Meteogroup all out of synch
It’s always been true that weather visualisation systems have great difficulty in synchronising frontal systems and isobars. Sometime they have trouble synchronising rainfall layers …
They think it’s all over…
Perhaps I was a bit premature with yesterday’s blog Was that it then? because I’ve noticed in the last few runs of the various …
Was that it then?
It’s certainly been a rather chilly last couple of weeks across IONA. But was that it as far as cold weather is concerned for …
Is this how the cold spell will end?
The ten day outlook isn’t looking too rosy at the moment for snow lovers from the 12th of January. We’ve had a good run …
Anticyclonic spell in north, windy, raw and rather cold further south
The cold spell continues over the whole of IONA al least for the next four days according to the Hires ECMWF model. Eventually high …
Anticyclonic spell in north, windy, raw and rather cold further south Read More »
Winds veer into east as SSW gets underway
So it looks highly likely that an SSW event will get underway for the start of the New Year, the Met Office reaffirming today …
A rather cold and wintry Hogmanay
It looks like it will be a cold and wintry Hogmanay for 2021 across IONA. The weather continues to be rather cold, rather than …
Climate warming scepticism and 42 day extended forecasts from the ECMWF
Three more weeks of below average temperatures across IONA, otherwise known as rather cold, that’s according to the latest 42 day long range forecast …
Climate warming scepticism and 42 day extended forecasts from the ECMWF Read More »
Staying cold for next ten days
The meteogram that I have cobbled together from grid point data from the ECMWF model remains on the cold side for the next ten …