What’s the chart for next Friday going to look like?
Never trust a model even if it’s the ECMWF at 7 days out.
This cold spell has got to end sooner or later – the ECMWF super computer thinks it will happen by the end of next week.
In western parts the northwesterly has been gale force at times around Elvis II in the last 24 hours, any other day gusts as high as 70 mph would have merited a yellow wind warning. As far as I can see the centre of Elvis II didn’t quite behave itself today as far as the model runs of yesterday predicted it would, and much of our part of the Scotland saw light winds and little in the way of rain in the centre of the low.
Cold northerly to return by Tuesday across Scotland and reinforced by low Ferdinand on Thursday.
The weather of Sunday 10 November 2019
The chances of snow on Sunday night
The UKMO persist in ending this current spell of weather, but noticeably the start of the transition to “more unsettled weather in the north” never seems to get any closer in their ever vague extended outlook.
The weather in the next ten days looks set to remain cyclonic and very unsettled, with easterly winds across northern parts according to the latest run of the ECMWF model.
Large difference for Friday between the GFS and UKMO models but which one to believe?
I completely missed the potential for gusts to 80 mph with Thursday’s low.
What’s so wrong with Albert or Arthur?