First hints of an easterly?
I may be clutching at straws as to what might come next this winter here, but there are the first signs of an easterly …
I may be clutching at straws as to what might come next this winter here, but there are the first signs of an easterly …
Wednesday or Thursday was always forecast to be a wild kind of day over the north of Scotland by the models, and by the …
Storm Christoph is going to make it a very busy week as far as warnings are concerned for the Met Office. They have already …
Sure about heavy rain – not so sure about strong winds and blizzards Read More »
I have been pondering this amber warning for heavy rain on Tuesday and Wednesday issued by the UKMO yesterday and looking at the latest …
The weather looks depressingly like a very average kind of January for the next ten days or so, thats according to the ECMWF model, …
Most of the frontal and cyclonic activity is forecast to be focused across parts of northwest and southwest England and the west of Wales …
Wet week ahead in northwest England and west of Wales Read More »
It may not be news to you, and it maybe that I’m not the most observant of people out there, but as far as …
Snow lying in NWP animations from the Met Office Read More »
There looks to be good agreement between the four major models regarding developments on Wednesday. The ECMWF no longer has the intense low across …
20 Jan 2021 – more consensus about Wednesdays low Read More »
There seems to be a bit of a disagreement between the GFS and ECMWF models about how much the low that’s forecast to track …
If anything the transitory snow on saturday could be a bigger problem across eastern England than anywhere else in the country according to the …
In contrast to the very slow moving occluding triple point system of the last 36 hours or so, the frontal system on Saturday is …
The ECMWF 42 day long range 2 M temperature anomaly forecast in the space of just six days have now decided that the week …
Take your pick from these four NWP model solutions for 06 UTC on Thursday. The chances of snow all hinge on just how quickly …
The SSW event that occurred just after the New Year has been somewhat underwhelming in reinvigorating the Christmas cold spell across IONA, but there …
The UKMO are taking no chances with the risk of snow on Monday across the north of Scotland and have issued an eleven hour …
It’s always been true that weather visualisation systems have great difficulty in synchronising frontal systems and isobars. Sometime they have trouble synchronising rainfall layers …
Perhaps I was a bit premature with yesterday’s blog Was that it then? because I’ve noticed in the last few runs of the various …
It’s certainly been a rather chilly last couple of weeks across IONA. But was that it as far as cold weather is concerned for …
The ten day outlook isn’t looking too rosy at the moment for snow lovers from the 12th of January. We’ve had a good run …
The cold spell continues over the whole of IONA al least for the next four days according to the Hires ECMWF model. Eventually high …
Anticyclonic spell in north, windy, raw and rather cold further south Read More »
So it looks highly likely that an SSW event will get underway for the start of the New Year, the Met Office reaffirming today …
It looks like it will be a cold and wintry Hogmanay for 2021 across IONA. The weather continues to be rather cold, rather than …
Three more weeks of below average temperatures across IONA, otherwise known as rather cold, that’s according to the latest 42 day long range forecast …
Climate warming scepticism and 42 day extended forecasts from the ECMWF Read More »
The meteogram that I have cobbled together from grid point data from the ECMWF model remains on the cold side for the next ten …