Model backing off rain across Scotland on Monday
One thing Louise Lear did mention in her forecast that I had also noticed was how Monday wasn’t going to end up as a …
Model backing off rain across Scotland on Monday Read More »
NWP
Recycled Yellow warnings
If this warning of snow and strong winds from the Met Office looks familiar it should do, it’s very similar to the ones they …
Repeat performance
This cold snap looks like the start of a recurring spell of northwesterly outbreaks forecast for the first half of April across IONA. The …
Spare a though for those in the far north
Spare a though for those who live in the far north, and by that I mean the northern Isles. They’ve seen a severe spell …
Not as cold and less windy…
Darren Bett reckons the rest of the week after Tuesday is going to be not as cold and less windy than it’s been today. …
Sunday’s snow warning oddities
Well the Met Office are quick off the mark, moving like oiled silk, to issue a snow warning from 18 UTC on Sunday evening …
ECMWF model accuracy
If you download the ECMWF Hires model and archive it on a daily basis as I do from wxcharts.com, you can then create a …
1 Apr 2021 – 10 cm of snow at Glascarnoch
If you fell for that headline, especially if you read it before 12 am then I fooled you, because it is after all the …
A cold April to come?
I have not found the 42 day long range 2 M temperature forecasts from the ECMWF particularly accurate in the past, but I thought …
Cold start to April on the cards
The long awaited cold northerly outbreak seems to have slipped back in each successive run of the models, but there seems to be no …
Rain shadow effect
Although there have been a few spots of rain in the wind, the rain shadow across Easter Ross is working wonders so far in …
A white Easter?
There was no real white Christmas in 2020 but there strong indications that we might well see a white Easter this year. That’s courtesy …
Way over the top from the UKMO
I don’t dispute that rainfall accumulations could approach 250 mm across western parts of Scotland on Monday and Tuesday, but the video of the …
Threat from lambing snow in next ten days
Spring can be a very worrying time if you are a hill sheep farmer with lambing season looming across northern parts. The short lived …
Cold wave to greet the start of spring
If you were expecting an early spring once again this year then you may have to think again, that’s if the latest NWP forecast …
What a difference a day makes
I don’t exactly know what went on down in the BBC Weather department yesterday with the forecast gusts of 85 mph for this afternoon, …
Why NWP models aren’t very good beyond T+144
I download a lot of NWP images from the internet every day, so I thought that I would come up with a way of …
So what happens now?
So what happens now? Well, according to two of the leading NWP models once we’ve seen the pack of this short cyclonic spell and …
Last chance saloon
I wonder if the UKMO will revisit their yellow wind warning for strong winds on Wednesday and Thursday this morning? The latest ECMWF model …
The latest on Wednesdays low
The gradients around the deep low forecast for Wednesday don’t look just quite a fierce as they did in the latest run of the …
Storm Evert on Wednesday?
The ECMWF and GFS models seem to have come back into a broad agreement that although this coming Wednesday will a very windy day, …
Thursday’s or should that be Wednesday’s low?
Instead of becoming more into line with each other at T+144 the GFS and the ECMWF models have come up with different solutions for …
One to keep an eye on
There is strong agreement for a deep low to cross the North of Scotland and an intense secondary low that will run quickly eastward …
BBC temperature for London too high again
I don’t know which particular model Meteogroup and the BBC are using at the moment, but it’s gone a little awry as far as …