As the heatwave slowly unravels into a hot and steamy breakdown from mid-week onwards across southern areas, a bit of a north-south split looks likely to develop with an anticyclonic ridge toppling down across the the …
If the weather’s crap in the south then it’s crap everywhere Read More »
The UKMO mesoscale model seems to be floundering with these thunderstorms at the moment, it’s no wonder the Met Office have had to issue blanket yellow thunderstorm warnings for the entire UK for the next three …
Where will the focus of the rain that falls from next week’s forecast thunderstorms be? There is not a great deal of agreement in the latest run of the three latest NWP model. There does seem …
Both Meteogroup and the UKMO ballsed up their forecast temperatures for 15 UTC today across the southeast of England. I would like to say what maximum temperature they had specifically gone for, but both organisations prefer …
Much lower than forecast temperatures across the southeast of England today Read More »
The large cumulonimbus that has rapidly developed in the last three hour and is now close to Paris at 1245 UTC is tracking N’NE and will miss Kent by a long chalk. But there are signs …
Darren Bett and Meteogroup seem convinced that maximum temperatures will get up to 34°C in parts of the southeast on Friday afternoon – maybe it will or maybe it won’t – we will see. Here in …
It was more like early autumn than summer across most of Scotland today, with temperatures three or four degrees below the long term average and an inch or more of rain over the much of the …
Yesterday’s NWP models were spot on about how far today’s rain would extend northward. Much of the northern Highlands have stayed clear of the rain from low Beate. We just had a couple of hours here …
Louise Lear was on great form today in her lunchtime forecast. She does not see the rain on Wednesday as being a great problem for Scotland, who are well used to it, and as it won’t …
It has been quite noticeable, well at least to me, how the Meteogroup weathercasters on the BBC have been over egging the weather forecast, especially in the southeast, and especially as regards the chances of sunshine …
I don’t know which NWP model they are currently using down at the BBC, but it’s not in touch with reality this morning as convective infill, the scourge of a nice afternoon in summer across the …
High pressure may be in charge for the next couple of days, particularly across the south, but it won’t be for long, as this dismal July continues to disappoint. Now what was it that the Met …
I am fairly certain that the ‘north-south split‘ cliché started with Michael Fish, as much as I’m certain that John Kettley started the popularity of idiom ‘from the word go‘ one, still occasionally uttered today by …
The infamous north-south split in this weeks weather Read More »
The various models have got their knickers in a twist about how low Wendy will develop overnight as it runs eastward across Scotland. The latest consensus from four of the worlds NWP models is that it …
The latest NWP forecasts do show a strong potential for a spell of severe gales across the northern Scotland on Sunday morning. Let’s see if the UKMO sit this one out as they so often do …
Something doesn’t quite add up here. The UKMO are being quite upbeat about the prospects for the rest of July in their long range forecast, but the midnight run of the ECMWF hi-res model in contrast …
Just for a change the focus of the heaviest rain in the next ten days, looks likely to be across the southwest of Scotland, Northern Ireland and northwest England, thats if this ECMWF forecast proved to …
Here is the latest count (up until yesterday) of consecutive days that have reached the heatwave threshold as outlined by the UKMO. There’s absolutely no doubt that heatwave conditions will continue today, as temperatures are already …
A very fierce looking weather radar image this evening as the waving cold front crosses Northern Ireland with a squall line across Belfast. The great Glen is the demarcation zone between the heavy rain across the …
In a way to cheer up the nations spirit after what has been a dreadful week of summer weather across the UK, with thunderstorms and monsoon like conditions across much of the south, the Met Office …
Met Office put positive spin on next weeks weather Read More »
Whatever mesoscale model the UKMO are using to predict where and when thunderstorms are likely to break out looks like it requires some tweaking, because this is the second day it’s missed thunderstorms that have formed …
Another great opening line from Tomasz Schafernaker in the taped weather forecast that’s been running all morning on the BBC News channel. So there’s not much change on the weather front over the next few days… …
So there’s not much change on the weather front over the next few days… Read More »
The latest ECMWF hires model is hinting at a easterly circulation by mid June across the UK, with high pressure predominating over the Norwegian Sea, and low pressure just to the west of Iberia. In terms …
Apparently Louise Lear thinks that low Juliane, heading across the North Sea quicker than any ferry from Esbjerg to Aberdeen, will bring strong winds to the northwest of the UK. Well the ECMWF model suggests that …