ECMWF

Just for a change

Just for a change the focus of the heaviest rain in the next ten days, looks likely to be across the southwest of Scotland, Northern Ireland and northwest England, thats if this ECMWF forecast proved to …

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Every little helps

The rainfall accumulations from the ECMWF Hires model for the next ten days do show some rain as a result of the break down from the current fine spell, not a lot, particularly in the southeast …

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Fly in the ointment…

It may have been “a very weak weather front” according to Darren Bett, in yesterday’s evening weather forecast on the BBC, but this fly in the ointment did produce a fair amount of rain across the …

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Low Gudrun

So the UKMO finally issue a yellow warning for strong wind for Friday, but they reckon that gusts of 50 to 60 mph will only affect Northern Ireland and nowhere else? Obviously they know more than …

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Friday’s low

Nothing particularly unusual about Friday’s low for May. The ECMWF hires model has it’s minimum central pressure at around 970 hPa at midnight on Friday. They forecast the low itself will skirt wide of the northwest …

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The block returns?

After a week of cyclonic weather it maybe that the blocked anticyclonic regime we just waved goodbye may be set to return by the middle of next week with high pressure building across the country and …

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West is best

That old weathercaster cliché west is best is a neat way of summing up Bank holiday Monday this year in the UK, that’s if the 00 UTC run of the ECMWF model is correct. Down the …

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Spring retreat

After a very mild winter it looks like spring has been put on hold as a series of lows are forecast to run southeast from Iceland into Norway which will maintain a never ending supply of …

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Another 1050+ high

It will be interesting to see if the above forecast from the ECMWF plays out and we do seen an intense high of over 1050 hPa becoming established to the west of Scotland by the weekend. …

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