GFS out on a limb with this forecast *updated
On the face of it the GFS model seems to be out on a limb in how it’s forecasting a significantly deeper and more …
On the face of it the GFS model seems to be out on a limb in how it’s forecasting a significantly deeper and more …
It looks to me that the GFS and ECMWF models start to diverge from around next Friday (T+120) when the GFS has cold air …
Absolutely diametrically opposing solutions in the ten day forecast for the ninth of February (T+240) from the GFS and ECMWF models today. I know …
The GFS and ECMWF aren’t seeing eye to eye regarding the low that’s spinning up on Friday to the southwest of IONA. This feature …
There seems to be a bit of a disagreement between the GFS and ECMWF models about how much the low that’s forecast to track …
The ten day outlook isn’t looking too rosy at the moment for snow lovers from the 12th of January. We’ve had a good run …
A generally widespread slight to moderate frost away from windward coasts overnight. Temperatures are already rising and pressure falling in the northwest though. The …
The models always seem to be promising a northerly outbreak at this time of the year. Sometime they never materialise at all and seem …
Northerlies – a mere shadow of their former self Read More »
Good old Dana! Whatever happened to her? Of course this is not December 1975 anymore, but there’s still bugger all on telly and it …
It’s going to be a cold, cold Christmas without you Read More »
Both the GFS and the ECMWF models are promising a change of type between Christmas and New Year reversing the zonal westerly into a …
The northerly on Christmas Eve might only be forecast to last for just a day, but don’t worry, with such a massive anticyclone becoming …
It seems that the extended frames of the GFS model are forever tantalisingly us with the prospects of a cold spell on the run …
This is the forecast for Christmas morning from the latest run of the GFS model. The chances of an anticyclonic easterly in last weeks …
It looks like it’ll be a cyclonic run up to Christmas 2020 and staying on the cold sign although not cold enough for any …
It seems that every year, I along with a lot of others do the same thing, and that is looking for the first hint …
Anticyclonic easterly sits waiting in the wings for Christmas Read More »
The GFS are still keeping things mobile well into the first week of December in marked contrast the UKMO in their long range forecast …
Met Office still clinging to their anticyclonic start to December story Read More »
I can already picture the editor of the Daily Express rubbing his hands in delight at the prospect of boosting his sales figures with …
This forecast should get the editor at the Daily Express going Read More »
The next tropical cyclone has not even been named yet but the latest run of the GFS model thinks that the low 700 miles …
You might have thought that the GFS model was throwing a wobbly at T+168 with the extreme gradient that it’s forecasting around this low …
The UKMO are anticipating a potential change of type across IONA by the middle of October in their long range text forecast. This fits …
There’s little agreement between the GFS and ECMWF numerical models about what comes next after a weekend that’s dominated by low Alex. The forecast …
Americans and Europeans at loggerheads about what happens next Read More »
Saturdays pirouetting low according to the midnight run of the GFS model starts its journey moving quickly westward into central France from the Bay …
It seems that autumn has come early to western Europe this year with more equinoctial gales following hard on the heels of storm Odette.The …
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