The return of the westerlies?
The GFS is still pushing for a quicker and more abrupt end to this current very warm spell of weather than the ECMWF model …
GFS
Bank holiday low
Both the GFS and the ECMWF models are promising a low for Bank holiday Monday. This looks like the same low I mentioned the …
End of the line for the dry spell?
According to the ECMWF the shallow low that’ll track south with it’s associated cold front from the north of Scotland on Monday, will gradually …
The latest on Wednesdays low
The gradients around the deep low forecast for Wednesday don’t look just quite a fierce as they did in the latest run of the …
Storm Evert on Wednesday?
The ECMWF and GFS models seem to have come back into a broad agreement that although this coming Wednesday will a very windy day, …
Thursday’s or should that be Wednesday’s low?
Instead of becoming more into line with each other at T+144 the GFS and the ECMWF models have come up with different solutions for …
One to keep an eye on
There is strong agreement for a deep low to cross the North of Scotland and an intense secondary low that will run quickly eastward …
Cold spell in early March
The weather still looks highly likely to switch back to cold during early March after what has been a very mild last two weeks …
GFS out on a limb with this forecast *updated
On the face of it the GFS model seems to be out on a limb in how it’s forecasting a significantly deeper and more …
GFS-ECMWF split
It looks to me that the GFS and ECMWF models start to diverge from around next Friday (T+120) when the GFS has cold air …
Which model’s your money on?
Absolutely diametrically opposing solutions in the ten day forecast for the ninth of February (T+240) from the GFS and ECMWF models today. I know …
Large differences in GFS and ECMWF models
The GFS and ECMWF aren’t seeing eye to eye regarding the low that’s spinning up on Friday to the southwest of IONA. This feature …
20 Jan 2021 – Wednesdays low
There seems to be a bit of a disagreement between the GFS and ECMWF models about how much the low that’s forecast to track …
Is this how the cold spell will end?
The ten day outlook isn’t looking too rosy at the moment for snow lovers from the 12th of January. We’ve had a good run …
So this is Christmas
A generally widespread slight to moderate frost away from windward coasts overnight. Temperatures are already rising and pressure falling in the northwest though. The …
Northerlies – a mere shadow of their former self
The models always seem to be promising a northerly outbreak at this time of the year. Sometime they never materialise at all and seem …
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It’s going to be a cold, cold Christmas without you
Good old Dana! Whatever happened to her? Of course this is not December 1975 anymore, but there’s still bugger all on telly and it …
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Something in the air
Both the GFS and the ECMWF models are promising a change of type between Christmas and New Year reversing the zonal westerly into a …
Some Christmas cheer from the GFS
The northerly on Christmas Eve might only be forecast to last for just a day, but don’t worry, with such a massive anticyclone becoming …
Possible change of type over Christmas
It seems that the extended frames of the GFS model are forever tantalisingly us with the prospects of a cold spell on the run …
Bang goes that bet!
This is the forecast for Christmas morning from the latest run of the GFS model. The chances of an anticyclonic easterly in last weeks …
Cyclonic run up to Christmas
It looks like it’ll be a cyclonic run up to Christmas 2020 and staying on the cold sign although not cold enough for any …
Anticyclonic easterly sits waiting in the wings for Christmas
It seems that every year, I along with a lot of others do the same thing, and that is looking for the first hint …
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Met Office still clinging to their anticyclonic start to December story
The GFS are still keeping things mobile well into the first week of December in marked contrast the UKMO in their long range forecast …
Met Office still clinging to their anticyclonic start to December story Read More »