The GFS are still keeping things mobile well into the first week of December in marked contrast the UKMO in their long range forecast who are still pushing their story of a strong signal for high …
Met Office still clinging to their anticyclonic start to December story Read More »
I can already picture the editor of the Daily Express rubbing his hands in delight at the prospect of boosting his sales figures with a repeat performance of the “Beast from the East” saga at the …
This forecast should get the editor at the Daily Express going Read More »
The next tropical cyclone has not even been named yet but the latest run of the GFS model thinks that the low 700 miles to the SE of the Bermuda’s will become Tropical Storm Epsilon in …
You might have thought that the GFS model was throwing a wobbly at T+168 with the extreme gradient that it’s forecasting around this low of southwest Ireland. Having said that it was only at the beginning …
The UKMO are anticipating a potential change of type across IONA by the middle of October in their long range text forecast. This fits in rather nicely with the T+384 frame for Sunday the 18th from …
There’s little agreement between the GFS and ECMWF numerical models about what comes next after a weekend that’s dominated by low Alex. The forecast for the UK seems to have it wallowing in the aftermath of …
Americans and Europeans at loggerheads about what happens next Read More »
Saturdays pirouetting low according to the midnight run of the GFS model starts its journey moving quickly westward into central France from the Bay of Biscay before taking a sharp turn to the left and heading …
It seems that autumn has come early to western Europe this year with more equinoctial gales following hard on the heels of storm Odette.The forecast of a deep low for Saturday across IONA I mentioned yesterday …
The latest NWP forecasts do show a strong potential for a spell of severe gales across the northern Scotland on Sunday morning. Let’s see if the UKMO sit this one out as they so often do …
The models are predicting a wet start to the week across western Scotland, particularly on the Outer isles and Skye. The totals don’t look quite as dire in the 00 UTC run of the GFS as …
This is what the 12 UTC run of the GFS model looks like at days nine to fifteen – don’t get too excited – this could all be just science fiction. It certainly would be nice …
The Met Office must be very confident in their mesoscale model, because rather surprisingly they are not expecting much in the way of impacts from snow away from the higher ground of the southern uplands and Cumbria (updated).
Now that we have waved a fond farewell to Ciara it’s now time to cast our gaze forward to later in the week.
The westerly airstream is so strong it’s blowing cold air right across the Atlantic from Arctic Canada, which seems to be the only way that any cold air can reach IONA these days, forget about those cold continental easterlies they are so passé
Why is it in their video forecasts do we ever see any Met Office model output displayed?
Thursday is shaping up to be an interesting day with all the NWP models at sixes and sevens about exactly what track low Clara is taking
I can’t work out how the UKMO model generates too separate lows when the others can only find one
After a short mild spell there may be light, or should that be white, at the end of the tunnel.
It will be interesting to see who ends up right about this one
