After over a year of using it for Strathpeffer, I find the forecast usually wrong more times than it’s right.
Call it delusions of grandeur if you like, but sometimes I get the distinct impression that someone down in the forecasting office in Exeter does occasionally read some of the stuff I write on xmetman.
There are signs of a change in type at long last, and things could be about to turn more meridional towards the last week of January across the IONA.
A few thoughts about low Fenja or should that be storm Brendan on Monday.
Monday certainly looks like it will be very windy so it’s a fair bet that this could be named storm Brendan if Met Eireann have anything to do with it. Tuesday has the potential for being even windier across southern area as the secondary low looks well placed for rapid development.
Well done to the Met Office model for spotting the likelihood of these piteraq winds occurring over eastern Greenland today.
Thursday is shaping up to be an interesting day with all the NWP models at sixes and sevens about exactly what track low Clara is taking
The Met Office has now come back into line with the GFS and ICON models for Thursday lunchtime
I can’t work out how the UKMO model generates too separate lows when the others can only find one
On Wednesday the pressure difference in the forecast charts between the Greenland ice cap and the low in the Denmark straits is 61 hPa.
It will be interesting to see who ends up right about this one
A bit of a dilemma for the chief.