Little agreement between models
There seems to be little agreement in the GFS and the ECMWF NWP models beyond seven days (T+168) at the moment. With the ECMWF …
UKMO
Misplaced rain across N Scotland
The UKMO model has been having problems fixing where rain is going to fall across Scotland for a while now, and it’s the same …
UKMO model overdoing the rain
It is always difficult to pin the Met Office down with their refusal to make publicly available any of their NWP data, but I …
Twelve Troughs
Things are hotting up down in EX1. Mr Trough is working himself into a frenzy in an attempt to break the record of more …
BBC Meteogroup not using the UKMO model today
Spot the BBC forecast? You’re correct, it’s the one on the left, you can easily identify the one from the Met Office it’s the …
Extent of haar proves testing time for NWP models
The various NWP models are having a torrid time in forecasting the extent of the haar in recent mornings. Whatever model the BBC and …
Extent of haar proves testing time for NWP models Read More »
Meteogroup and UKMO model differences
Quite a difference in the models being touted by BBC and Meteogroup and the UKMO this afternoon. The rain area in the model used …
Cold spell in early March
The weather still looks highly likely to switch back to cold during early March after what has been a very mild last two weeks …
GFS out on a limb with this forecast *updated
On the face of it the GFS model seems to be out on a limb in how it’s forecasting a significantly deeper and more …
Fronts just queuing up…
The fronts are just queuing up in the eastern Atlantic to take pot shots at IONA at the moment. They must have let Mr …
Too much precision
Originally tweeted by Met Office (@metoffice) on 25 January 2021. I am sure if I were issuing a snow warning for Tuesday I would …
First hints of an easterly?
I may be clutching at straws as to what might come next this winter here, but there are the first signs of an easterly …
Met Office still clinging to their anticyclonic start to December story
The GFS are still keeping things mobile well into the first week of December in marked contrast the UKMO in their long range forecast …
Met Office still clinging to their anticyclonic start to December story Read More »
Midmonth change in type?
The UKMO are anticipating a potential change of type across IONA by the middle of October in their long range text forecast. This fits …
Odds still in favor of a storm Alex
The leading NWP Models now seem to be coming to some kind of general consensus about the track of Friday’s low, although they do …
Another 1050+ high
It will be interesting to see if the above forecast from the ECMWF plays out and we do seen an intense high of over …
Light, or is that white at the end of the tunnel?
There are signs of a change in type at long last, and things could be about to turn more meridional towards the last week of January across the IONA. It’s a shame that it all came to nothing.
The Met Office single site forecasts
After over a year of using it for Strathpeffer, I find the forecast usually wrong more times than it’s right.
Brendan faster, deeper
Call it delusions of grandeur if you like, but sometimes I get the distinct impression that someone down in the forecasting office in Exeter does occasionally read some of the stuff I write on xmetman.
How is Monday’s gale shaping up?
A few thoughts about low Fenja or should that be storm Brendan on Monday.
A windy Monday next week
Monday certainly looks like it will be very windy so it’s a fair bet that this could be named storm Brendan if Met Eireann have anything to do with it. Tuesday has the potential for being even windier across southern area as the secondary low looks well placed for rapid development.
Piteraq produces mean speeds of 79 with gusts to 112 knots
Well done to the Met Office model for spotting the likelihood of these piteraq winds occurring over eastern Greenland today.
Strong winds but which are they blowing?
Thursday is shaping up to be an interesting day with all the NWP models at sixes and sevens about exactly what track low Clara is taking
Normal service resumes at the Met Office
The Met Office has now come back into line with the GFS and ICON models for Thursday lunchtime