Will it slide like in 2012?

The big question is will the Arctic sea extent slide away like it did in the summer of 2012 or take a shallower trajectory?

Recent North Atlantic SST

The cold pool in the central western Atlantic just about managed to survive through the winter of 2018/19. Meanwhile in the eastern Atlantic, North Sea, Baltic and Norwegian SST anomalies are already well above normal by April. This animation I’ve cobbled together from the map room at the IRI.