Warnings

Thunderstorms show up late

I did wonder if yesterday evening’s thunderstorms that spread northwest across the heart of central England were ever going to materialise, but they finally make it across northwest England at around 19 UTC. It’s notoriously difficult …

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Low Gudrun

So the UKMO finally issue a yellow warning for strong wind for Friday, but they reckon that gusts of 50 to 60 mph will only affect Northern Ireland and nowhere else? Obviously they know more than …

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Friday’s low

Nothing particularly unusual about Friday’s low for May. The ECMWF hires model has it’s minimum central pressure at around 970 hPa at midnight on Friday. They forecast the low itself will skirt wide of the northwest …

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What about London?

The Met Office seem to have missed the SFERICs that have broken out across the west of London in their yellow warning for thunderstorms this afternoon for the north Midlands. This looks like medium level instability …

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Wet, wet, wet

The models are predicting a wet start to the week across western Scotland, particularly on the Outer isles and Skye. The totals don’t look quite as dire in the 00 UTC run of the GFS as …

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Good old Met Office

There are no warnings of strong wind in force today from the Met Office. But Meteoalarm reveals that’s not the case in other countries across Europe. Portugal have warnings issued for gusts of 75 kph on …

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A tale of two warnings

The only reason that I can see why almost identical warnings were issued for heavy rain across central Wales and central northern England, one amber and the other yellow, is that the Met Office thought that …

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