Ex-hurricane Teddy has made landfall in Nova Scotia close to a place called Ecum Secum. I realise that my plotted 12 UTC chart hasn’t contoured it properly even after adding a bogus observation. The NWP forecast …
On the 12th of September the ACE index in the Atlantic for 2020 was slightly below the LTA, but ten days later with the help of hurricanes Paulette and Teddy the ACE index on the 22nd …
Equinoctial galesThe implication contained in this term, which is in fairly wide popular use, that GALES are either more frequent or more severe near the EQUINOXES than at other times, is not supported by observations. In …
The medicane/cyclone which I have watching for the last couple of days has now been given the name of Ianos by somebody or other and has moved a little faster in the last 24 hours than …
High pressure in the central Atlantic looks to be deflecting what remains of hurricane Teddy towards Nova Scotia by next Wednesday.
It certainly looks like a stormy start to the weekend over mainland Greece. I’m not sure just how accurate the German ICON model is, but it deepens the medicane just off Sicily at 06 UTC this …
There are reports that a low to the southeast of Sicily in the Mediterranean sea may evolve into a ‘medicane’ as it tracks northeast towards Greece towards the weekend. At the moment there was only a …
The weather buoy 42012 just of the coast of Alabama is very close to the eye of hurricane Sally this morning. According to the NHC at 09 UTC, Sally was centred at 30.1 north and 87.7 …
Weather buoy 42012 close to eye of Sally * updated* Read More »
Hurricane Paulette is bearing down on Bermuda at 06 UTC (14 September 2020) this morning and is likely to make a direct hit later today with the islands before turning north. The L F Wade Airport …
Hurricane Paulette bearing down on Bermuda *updated* Read More »
Many storms little ACE The 2020 Atlantic tropical cyclone season has been setting records ever since it started with the number of named tropical cyclones (those reaching tropical storm category with winds of 35 kts or …
Typhoon Haishen is still heading north at 18 knots this morning according to the JMA and bearing down on the island of Yakushima. Intensity noted by the JMA as ‘very strong’ (cat 3?) but certainly not …
Super Typhoon Haishen has this evening (15 UTC on Saturday) brushed close by the island of Minamidaitōjima in the Pacific Ocean. Minamidaitōjima lies 190 nautical miles ESE of Okinawa. Haishen has a minimum central pressure of …
Super Typhoon Haishen brushes close to Minamidaitōjima Read More »
There is no doubt the number of tropical cyclones has increased since 1851 in the North Atlantic and all the linear trends are tilting upwards in the above graphs. I still maintain that a good deal …
The frequency of tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic since 1851 Read More »
This is a map showing the provisional track of all tropical cyclones that have formed in the North Atlantic so far in 2020.
I don’t need to say much about hurricane Laura and just leave it to the NHC fo fill you in on the details. Suffice it to say that Laura may be reborn in a couple of …
I received an email this morning regarding the intensity of storm Ellen yesterday evening from Stephen Burt (which I thought was was very kind of him). In the 23 UTC observation at Shannon airport the MSLP …
Was storm Ellen really a tropical storm in disguise? Read More »
This grid of data for tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic took a bit of figuring out. It shows years along the Y axis the years from 1950 to 2020, and along the X axis dates, …
How truly active has the tropical cyclone season been in the Atlantic so far in 2020? Read More »
Tropical storm Gonzalo was a bit of a nightmare for the NHC who had a one time expected it to mature into a category one hurricane, but ultimately Gonzalo disappointed their expectations and dissipated well before …
A very interesting question as posed by Sarah Keith-Lucas in her recent BBC video.
The NHC have surpassed themselves this year in forensically spotting six short lived tropical storms that have between them survived a total of 264 hours before transitioning to that great tropical cyclone up in the sky …
Apparently it’s not that uncommon for Saharan dust to reach the Caribbean thanks to the NE trade winds in June, but this event is likely to have been the largest for fifty years or more, and …
There has been a lot of media hype concerning the ‘fast start’ the 2020 tropical cyclones season has apparently got off to in the North Atlantic. I spent some time in a rather tedious bit of …
Just how busy a start has it been to the tropical cyclone season in the North Atlantic? Read More »
Cyclone Amphan made landfall on Tuesday evening south of Calcutta. The closest SYNOP report from that part of India in this plotted 12 UTC chart for today is from the city of Dum Dum in West …
