End of the line for the dry spell?

Courtesy wxcharts.com

According to the ECMWF the shallow low that’ll track south with it’s associated cold front from the north of Scotland on Monday, will gradually deepen and loose it’s identity (odd but true) by Wednesday, but reemerge and combine with another shallow vortex that’s moving northeast out of Iberia on Wednesday, and then clip southeastern parts of IONA with it’s rain band as it moves into the low countries later that day and into Thursday. The rain and showers associated with resurgence of the cold air behind this feature could spell the end of the line for many of any hopes for record low April rainfall totals across the country. This forecast out to T+108 is at the edge of the range even for the ECMWF model, and only the GFS model supports these kind of accumulations in the south at the moment.

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