Louise Lear was on great form today in her lunchtime forecast. She does not see the rain on Wednesday as being a great problem for Scotland, who are well used to it, and as it won’t be affecting the south where’s the problem in that.
She does venture an opinion about next weekend’s weather though – and shock horror it’s all change – southern parts might well see some rain! I don’t see the point of venturing much beyond T+120 with the accuracy of today’s NWP models, but she didn’t seem to mind wading in, not without adding the usual weathercaster caveats of ‘potentially’, ‘looks likely’, ‘possibly’, ‘level of uncertainty’, regarding how this low, which has the temerity to spoil the fine warm settled spell across the south, moves in from the northwest(?). How is it that the rain on Wednesday across Scotland doesn’t mark a change, but the rain from Saturday’s low does?
If this T+180 form the ECMWF is anywhere near accurate, then next Sunday might well be remembered for it’s heavy thundery showers rather than for it’s sunshine.