Recent ECMWF forecasts

The ECMWF Hires model finally latched onto a solution at T+96 for today. Towards the end of May all models where going for a cool rather than a very warm end to the month if you remember, I certainly was mislead and got it totally wrong on the 22nd of May in this blog about how I expected May to end on a cool note. The GFS was much closer to a solution than the ECMWF was though for spotting the change in type on the 26th of May as I mentioned in this blog. The rule is you can never fully trust a NWP model much beyond T+108 no matter how good it’s reputed to be.

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