The chances of a cold November

Data courtesy of the Met Office

The mean temperature in sixteen of the last twenty Novembers have been above average in central England, and of them all only 2010 and 2016 could be described as below average, in fact you would have to go back to 1985 to find one that could be classified as really cold. That’s probably because as a month November has been warming at a rate of 0.111°C per decade since 1878 in central England, and the mean temperature for the month is now around 1.58°C higher than it was back then. Early signs look like the first part of November 2019 could be colder than average with high pressure to the north.

Data courtesy of the Met Office

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