Early cold wave across North America a sign of things to come?
I just noticed this early cold wave which is affecting central north America at the moment.A sign of things to come this winter perhaps?
Winter drawers on
The northern corries of Cairngorm have already been picking up a fresh mantle of snow over the last few days. I wonder if last years snow patches have survived on the most sheltered spots on the …
Another last minute warning
I can’t understand why the Met Office left it until the last minute again to issue a yellow warning for wind and heavy rain for the southeast after watching a series of line convection squalls embedded …
Will October 2020 be the wettest on record?
To answer the question let’s take a closer look at October rainfall for the whole of the UK using gridded data – which lets face it is a purely imaginary total – but seems to be …
More rain for western Scotland
Here are the estimated rainfall accumulations since 0600 UTC on Friday. Yesterday’s showers combined with the heavy overnight rain from the frontal system connected to low Lucy produced extremes accumulations on the highest ground close to …
Gusts to 72 mph overnight
I should have realised long before now that it’s impossible to fathom the logic that lies behind the Met Office warning system because there simply isn’t any. For example the Met Office issued a yellow warning …
Why has October 2020 been so cold?
Why has October 2020 been so cold up until now? The reason why temperature anomalies have been three degrees below average across central France is that mean pressure during the month has maintained a low pressure …
Flash flooding in Aberdeen
The heavy rain to the north of the city of Aberdeen has caused the flooding of the rail line between the city and Dyce airport this morning. Thankfully the heavy rain has now cleared away eastward …
Heavy overnight rainfall in northeast Scotland
The Morayshire warning I must say that the amounts quoted in yesterday’s yellow warning of heavy rain from 1600 BST till 0800 BST this morning for Morayshire were justified. Having said that a heavy rain warning …
21 October 2020 rainfall
The wettest place in the UK yesterday was across the northwest of Scotland on Wednesday (0000-2355 UTC), where extreme estimated accumulations were as high as 80 mm on the mountains around Ben Hope in the extreme …
Barbara another totally forgettable storm
There were gusts of over fifty knots in the channel and along the French, Belgium and Dutch coastline at 12 UTC today from the low that developed from storm Barbara, but apart from a coastal gale …
This explains everything!
I wondered why the Met Office had issued a peculiar belated yellow warning for heavy rain late this morning for the Moray Firth area. Now I realise it was probably because of the flooding on the …
Hello again…
You can always tell when you’re listening to a taped weather forecast on the BBC news channel. For instance Carol Kirkwood always starts the same way by saying “Hello again”. It’s like this because of the …
Much too late – almost an afterthought
The Met Office have finally got their arse’s into gear and issued a much belated yellow warning for heavy rain for northern Scotland. The area they have chosen in my opinion should have been much larger …
Is GISTemp4 running a little hot?
September 2020 was the warmest globally since their record began in 1980 with a monthly anomaly 0f exactly 1°C above the 1951-1980 LTA. This surprised me a little, as I was expecting the recent surge in …
The case of the missing second warning for heavy rain…
There is very little in the way of development and deepening of the low that tracks from the bay of Biscay E’NE along the English Channel later this morning. The chart below is for rainfall totals …
The case of the missing second warning for heavy rain… Read More »
More heavy overnight rain
The rain on the Velux woke me up so early this morning (3 am), so I thought that I would fire up the Quattro and have a look at the situation and calculate rainfall totals since …
20 October 2020 08 UTC
I couldn’t resist drawing a few fronts on this chart – and I don’t claim that it’s anything like reality!
Latest on Barbara
There certainly will be a spell of southwesterly gales running in the Eastern English Channel on Wednesday that may well produce an hour or two of coastal gales along the Kent coast, that’s if this latest …
Overnight rainfall totals
It was quite a dreich and wet day across Scotland yesterday, and not much has changed this morning across the north. There are some purple pixels in the accumulations chart for the last thirty hours indicating …
Storm Barbara
This storm naming game is a real hoot isn’t it. I must admit that I didn’t even see this one coming. The Met Office seem to have it well covered though, so here are all the …
Hows that yellow warning for heavy rain doing?
The yellow warning warning for heavy rain from the Met Office has only been running for eleven hours or so, and it’s already quite apparent that the bulk of the rain which has fallen is much …
Epsilon definitely one to watch
The next tropical cyclone has not even been named yet but the latest run of the GFS model thinks that the low 700 miles to the SE of the Bermuda’s will become Tropical Storm Epsilon in …