A ‘muddle’ of models
I don’t know what the collective noun is for a number of NWP models, or if there is one at all, but I reckon that a muddle of models seems very appropriate, especially when none of them are in full agreement with each other, as they are for Thursday of this week. Just how far the deepening low on Wednesday will track northward will be critical to where exactly any snow on the leading edge of the occlusion will fall. They may not agree much about the track but each of the four models are in agreement about the timing of the event which looks likely to be overnight Wednesday and into Thursday. Unlike Ciara, there’s not even a three day ahead warning about any impacts from this low so far from the Met Office.