Shockingly poor 42 day temperature forecast from the ECMWF for April

Courtesy ECMWF

A shockingly poor 42 day long range forecast for 2M temperature anomalies across Europe for April from the ECMWF. They did have area of negative anomalies but they were either in the wrong place and not sever enough to cover the cold pool that’s meandered across Europe during the month. It does make you wonder what the point of pouring money into the latest blazingly fast supercomputers when they can get it so wrong. What’s obviously at fault here are the climate models, and faster computers won’t sort this problem out.

And just for completeness here’s a thermogram from the same reanalysis data for close to Frankfurt in Germany since the start of the year which shows how cold April was there.

What do you think?

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