Too much precision

Originally tweeted by Met Office (@metoffice) on 25 January 2021.

I am sure if I were issuing a snow warning for Tuesday I would employ a more broad brush kind of approach rather than this convolute hourglass shaped area the UKMO have come up with. The area does seem to vaguely follow the 200 M contour to pick out the areas of higher ground most likely to be affected. The area excludes Edinburgh, and given their track record this winter I wouldn’t have thought that was such a bright idea. Yet another tricky situation but it does look likely that any snow will turn to rain behind the occlusion south of the central belt.

Courtesy wxcharts.com

What do you think?

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