Wet, wet, wet
The models are predicting a wet start to the week across western Scotland, particularly on the Outer isles and Skye. The totals don’t look quite as dire in the 00 UTC run of the GFS as the 100 to 125 mm predicted in the yellow warning from the Met Office, but it won’t be the first time that the GFS got it wrong this side of the Atlantic. It’s interesting that there’s even a rain shadow on the Isle of Lewis, thanks to the hills, with the north of the island forecast to receive less than 50% of what the south of the island will. These totals look high but they are over a period of 60 hours and I wouldn’t have thought them that exceptional.